According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of 2019, the national real estate development investment was 6.1609 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.9%. The growth rate was 0.3 percentage points lower than the previous five months. The commercial housing sales area was 757.86 million square meters, down 1.8% year-on-year. It is 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous five months.
Shen Xinfeng believes that under the guidance of economic restructuring and real estate policy guidance, real estate investment and sales are expected to continue to weaken in the second half of the year.
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From the perspective of housing price performance, the sales price changes of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities released in June showed that the sales price of new commercial residential buildings in the first, second and third tier cities in June was the same as that of the previous month or the decline; the first and second tier cities The growth rate of second-hand housing declined, and the growth rate of third-tier cities slightly expanded. On the same period of the year, the sales prices of new commercial residential and second-hand residential buildings in the first, second and third tier cities fell.
"In the first half of this year, the sales of commercial housing and the land market have cooled significantly, and the rate of increase in housing prices is controllable." Zhang Jun believes that the differentiation of the real estate market under the leadership of the "one city, one policy" policy is an inevitable result, if the monetary and fiscal policy continues to "effective" In the second half of the year, the policy layer will still strengthen the precise regulation of “one city and one policy”, and the financial policy for real estate will continue to maintain the marginal tightening and not relax. However, given the current low inventory levels, it is expected that the probability of a slowdown in real estate investment growth is not large, it may stabilize at a low level, and the overall probability of housing prices is stable. Different cities may have ups and downs due to different regulatory policies and inventory levels. The current situation.
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Real estate is one of the main battlefields for demanding abrasive abrasive products. The Central Economic Work Conference clearly decided to “not use real estate as a means of stimulating the economy in the short term”, and the market demand for abrasives in the future will be affected to some extent.
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